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  • Writer's pictureKyle Sooley-Brookings

NOAA predicts above-average hurricane season in mid-season update

NOAA has released an update on their projections for the current Atlantic Hurricane Season.

The agency says that atmospheric and oceanic conditions remain conducive for an above-average hurricane season.

While there hasn't been a storm in the Atlantic since Hurricane Elsa dissipated on July 9, forecasters expect things to get busier soon.

The latest outlook expects 15 to 21 named storms, including 7 to 10 hurricanes, of which 3 to 5 could become major hurricanes.

This updated outlook includes the 5 named storms that have formed so far, with Hurricane Elsa becoming the earliest 5th named storm on record.

NOAA scientists predict that the likelihood of an above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is 65%. There is a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

Statistically, the peak of hurricane season is September 10th.

2021 Storm Names:

The Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st until November 30th. You can check updates on the latest storms on our Hurricane Centre page.


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