top of page
  • Writer's pictureDigital Writers

Probability of a White Christmas


Even those who dislike snow the most can tolerate a white Christmas. The holiday is somehow more magical when there is snow on the ground.


Below is a list of Canadian cities indicating the probability of a white Christmas based on historical data. Environment and Climate Change Canada defines a white Christmas as having snow on the ground of 2 cm or more on Christmas morning at 7 a.m.


The date is for a period of 67 years from 1955-2021


  • Brandon 94%

  • Barrie 76%

  • Buttonville 56%

  • Calgary 61%

  • Charlottetown 75%

  • Edmonton 88%

  • Fredericton 72%

  • Goose Bay 99%

  • Grand Prairie 87%

  • Halifax 52%

  • Hamilton 60%

  • Iqaluit 100%

  • Kamloops 52%

  • Kelowna 64%

  • Kenora 100%

  • Kitchener-Waterloo 69%

  • Lethbridge 49%

  • London 66%

  • Medicine Hat 57%

  • Moncton 72%

  • Montreal 75%

  • Ottawa 79%

  • Prince George 90%

  • Penticton 31%

  • Quebec 97%

  • Regina 87%

  • Saint John 57%

  • Sarnia 57%

  • Saskatoon 93%

  • St. John's 66%

  • Sault Ste Marie 90%

  • Stephenville 81%

  • Sudbury 94%

  • Sydney 58%

  • Thunder Bay 97%

  • Timmins 99%

  • Toronto City 45%

  • Toronto (GTA) 51%

  • Vancouver 9%

  • Victoria 12%

  • Whitehorse 100%

  • Wiarton 79%

  • Windsor 43%

  • Winnipeg 99%

  • Yellowknife 100%

Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada

bottom of page